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Jiaqi Ren

I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at the Pennsylvania State University, specializing in Econometrics and Industrial Organization. My research focuses on developing novel econometric methods to address empirical questions in antitrust, competition, and network economics. I also have hands-on industry experience with large-scale A/B testing at Amazon.

Here is my Curriculum Vitae.​​

I am on the job market for the 2026–27 academic year. I am interested in roles where I can apply rigorous quantitative methods to important real-world problems and make an impact. ​​

News

Working Papers

An Instrument-free Method for Testing Firm Conduct (Job Market Paper) Slides | Code

Abstract. Identifying how firms compete, that is, their conduct, is central to empirical industrial organization and antitrust policy. The standard approach tests candidate conduct models using markup-shifting instruments. When such instruments are weak or unavailable, existing tests have limited power to distinguish among competing conduct hypotheses. This paper develops an instrument-free procedure. In place of an instrument, I use economically motivated bounds on marginal cost. Under the null hypothesis, the marginal cost implied by a candidate conduct model, evaluated at the true demand parameter, must lie within these bounds. This turns conduct testing into a system of linear inequality restrictions on the implied marginal costs. I adapt the Conditional Chi-square testing approach of Cox and Shi (2023) to this framework and establish asymptotic validity of the resulting test. The test adapts its critical value to the geometry of the binding constraints. It requires neither tuning parameters nor simulation, and its critical value comes directly from the chi-square distribution. I design a structural mixed-logit Monte Carlo simulation to Döpper et al. (2025) to verify the test's finite-sample performance. The test controls size well under two common demand estimators, GMM via PyBLP and the Conformant Likelihood Estimator with Exogeneity Restrictions (CLEER) via GruMPS.

Identification of Peer Effects in Social Networks (Neil Wallace Best Third-Year Paper Award)

Abstract. This paper studies the identification and estimation of the linear-in-means model of peer effects when network links are censored. I show identification in a general setting imposing no restrictions on link formation other than the standard exogeneity requirement, and allowing the censoring of links to be correlated with unobservable determinants of the outcome. Specifically, I propose three identification strategies by developing censoring-adjusted instrumental variables for groups of individuals whose observability is unaffected by censoring. I then construct three 2SLS estimators and combine them for more efficient point estimation using an adaptive approach. In a simulation study, I show that my estimators have satisfactory finite sample performance.

Dams and Violence in Africa, with Li Han and Yabin Yin (Accepted at the 2025 annual meeting of American Economic Association)

Abstract. This paper examines how hydropower dams trigger conflict incidence in Africa. Combining data on 54 dams commissioned between 2001-2022 with georeferenced conflicts, we employ a difference-in-differences approach comparing areas near dam-affected versus unaffected river branches before and after dam completion. We find dams significantly increased monthly conflict incidence by 0.8 percentage points, corresponding to 114% relative to baseline in downstream areas, with effects emerging after two years and persisting in the long run. These effects were mostly concentrated near national borders and more likely involved larger-scale conflicts by organized armed groups. No such effect was observed for upstream regions. A major mechanism is through reduced downstream water availability, intensifying competition for scarce domestic water resources.

Industry Experience

Amazon – Economist Intern

Summer 2026

Experimentation and A/B Testing 

I worked on improving latency monitoring for large-scale online experiments. I analyzed more than 40,000 A/B tests and developed statistical methods to determine how long experiments should run to provide reliable latency monitoring. 

My work combined power analysis with multiple hypothesis testing, Bayesian decision modeling, and large-scale data analysis, with production pipelines built using SQL, PySpark, and AWS. The redesigned monitoring policy was projected to generate $50+ million in annual U.S. savings.

Teaching

I have served as a teaching assistant for a wide range of Ph.D. and undergraduate courses in economics. I lead recitation sessions covering course material and homework problems, hold office hours, and provide students with guidance and mentorship. 

ECON 510 (Ph.D): Econometrics
ECON 483: Economic Forecasting

ECON 428: Environmental Economics

ECON 479: Economics of Matching

ECON 102 & 104: Introductory Economics

© 2026 Jiaqi Ren, PhD in Economics, Penn State · Email · LinkedIn

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